Tonight’s Dodgers Game: A Betting Perspective
The Los Angeles Dodgers face off against the New York Mets in what promises to be a thrilling Game 3 of the NLCS, set at Citi Field. Given the context of the series tied at 1-1, this game carries significant weight, potentially setting the tone for the remainder of the championship. Here’s a detailed look at what bettors might expect and where the smart money could be placed.
Game Analysis:
Pitching Matchup: Walker Buehler for the Dodgers against Luis Severino for the Mets. Buehler’s recent performances have been under scrutiny, with statistics placing him in the lower quartile for ERA and batting average against. This might suggest a vulnerability, especially against a Mets team looking to capitalize on any pitching slip-ups.
Team Dynamics: The Mets have shown they can hit hard when given the opportunity, as demonstrated in Game 2. Conversely, the Dodgers’ batting lineup, particularly Mookie Betts, has the potential for breakout performances. However, the cold weather might play a role, possibly affecting the Dodgers’ performance according to some general sports analysis.
Defense and Bullpen: Both teams boast solid defensive plays, with the Mets leading in putouts and double plays in the postseason. This indicates a potential for low-scoring innings if the starting pitchers maintain control.
Betting Insights:
Total Runs: There’s a divide in the betting community. Some lean towards an over due to Buehler’s recent stats and the offensive firepower of both teams. However, there’s also a case for the under, given the pitchers’ histories and the strong bullpen performances anticipated.
Prediction: Given the split insights, if you’re betting on the total, consider the over slightly more due to the trend but with caution. A safer might be to look at first-five innings totals where the over might be more justified given Buehler’s recent form.
Moneyline and Spread: The series context suggests a close game. Betting on the Mets with the points (+1.5) seems like a safer play if you believe in a tight contest, but if you’re feeling bold, the Dodgers on the moneyline could be rewarding if Betts or Ohtani break out.
Prediction: Moneyline: If forced to pick, Dodgers might have the edge due to their batting potential against Severino’s control issues but at a close margin. Spread: Mets +1.5 for a safer bet.
Player Props: Given the insights:
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 hits+RBI+runs could be a lucrative bet considering his potential for a breakout game.
Luis Severino Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed seems reasonable given his recent starts and the Dodgers’ offensive capability.
