Everyone knows the Washington Commanders badly need an infusion of young talent. The Commanders need speed on both sides of the ball. Well, if there is any good news surrounding the 2025 season for Washington, it is that Sunday’s embarrassing 31-0 loss to the Minnesota Vikings moved them even closer to a top-5 pick, perhaps even a shot at the No. 1 overall pick. The Commanders are currently in the No. 6 position in the 2026 NFL draft order. Washington gained ground on the No. 1 overall pick, as the Tennessee Titans defeated the Cleveland Browns. With its win, Tennessee fell from No. 1 down to No. 3. Meanwhile, the New York Giants moved up to No. 1, with the Las Vegas Raiders right behind at No. 2.Guess who the Commanders play next week? That’s right, it’s a rematch from Week 1 when the Commanders defeated the Giants 21-6. A lot has changed since. While the Giants have lost seven games in a row, they’re playing hard. Rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart has given them life. New York will win a game or two before the end of the season. There’s a good chance it happens next week. In fact, every team ahead of the Commanders is showing signs of life. The Raiders and Giants aren’t winning, but they’re playing much more competitive football than Washington. The Titans and Browns are playing hard. The Jets and Saints have shown improvement in recent weeks. The Commanders continue regressing. What are Washington’s chances of landing the No. 1 overall pick? Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic shared the following graphic, which shows the Commanders have a 39% chance of landing a top-5 pick and a 97% chance of falling somewhere inside the top 10. As for the No. 1 pick, Washington’s current odds are 2%. The Commanders have a 39% chance of getting a top-5 pick in the 2026 NFL draft, according to The Athletic’s projections. https://t.co/KBxv7d4we2pic.twitter.com/M0aknBtXHZ— Nicki Jhabvala (@NickiJhabvala) December 8, 2025So, you’re saying there’s a chance? Yes. And a very good one at that. This article originally appeared on Commanders Wire: Washington Commanders: What are the chances landing the No. 1 pick?